By AJ Giannone, CFA
Allio Tactically Shifting Risk Exposures
Anticipating a potential continuation of the year-end rally in both equities and fixed income, Allio is repositioning client portfolios.
By AJ Giannone, CFA
Allio Seizes Opportunity Amidst Shifting Markets
Allio is strategically increasing risk exposure in our portfolios, anticipating a potential year-end rally.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Perhaps a Technical Bounce, But Equities Not Out of the Woods
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, explains why caution is warranted on equities—but a short-term bounce could be on tap.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Things Just Got Interesting
We think the odds of the market experiencing another leg lower in its recent correction have increased.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Calm Before the Storm?
The market gave back some of its late-August gains last week, as both dollar and rates strength continued to weigh on risk.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
A Strong Bounce with Room for More
Equities rebounded strongly last week with the broad market up 2.8%
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Is That It for the Dip?
Both the broad market and the Nasdaq 100 ended their losing streaks last week
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Institutional Selling Raises Alarms
The broad market fell for the third consecutive week last week and not modestly
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
The Dip Will Be Bought But Remain Cautious Near-Term
Allio’s CIO continues to believe the market hasn’t topped, but wouldn't rule out a continuation of the current selloff.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Buy the Upcoming Dip
Why we view the possibility of the market becoming oversold in the next couple weeks as an opportunity to add equity exposure.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Peak Goldilocks?
As perfect as the economic and earnings data were last week, it’s reasonable to believe we have reached Peak Goldilocks.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Eyes on the Dollar
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer details his assumptions on market movements, dollar relative sentiment, & the AI bubble.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Maximum Uncertainty
Allio’s CIO explains the maximum uncertainty with respect to the direction of the market, and what scenarios we could expect to play out.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Waiting, Waiting, Waiting…
The possibility of a sharp, scary pullback in overbought mega-cap tech stocks could penalize those late to the game.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Momentum vs. Relative Sentiment
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, explains why the market appears to have time and room to run higher.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
The Smart Money Is Positioning for a Credit Crunch
The smart money appears to be prepping for a credit crunch, as institutions sell equities, and dollar relative sentiment surges.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Institutions Are Heading for the Exits
Institutions are exiting the market, but the battle between the bulls and bears continues, leading to an uncertain outlook ahead.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Countdown to a Correction
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, explains the recent dramatic shift from institutional investors.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Institutions Are Becoming Less Bullish
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer on why Allio suspects that the indices will make higher highs than last week’s in the coming weeks.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
May 30, 2023
Market Regime Shift?
AI euphoria hits the market. Can equities go higher? Or is a pullback around the corner? Allio’s CIO on how the market may trend.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
May 23, 2023
Market Finally Breaks Higher—Will It Last?
The S&P 500 finally broke out of its two-month trading range last week. Allio’s CIO explains where we think it will go from here.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
May 19, 2023
Market Risk May Have Just Become Two-Sided
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, on why the bear case may be gaining steam.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
May 8, 2023
Wake Me Up When the Market Does Something
Why the market is trading sideways and seemingly going nowhere, and why the dollar and gold have been trading indecisively.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
May 1, 2023
The Pain Trade Is Still Higher
Why Allio continues to hold the view that equities likely have higher to go in the near-term before the downtrend resumes.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Allio's Chief Investment Officer on Portfolio Strategy, and the Impact of Secular Market Regimes
Our interview with Raymond Micaletti, Allio's Chief Investment Officer, on creating a better robo-advisor, and more.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Equities' Holding Pattern: End in Sight?
Insights into the current state of the U.S. equity market, the impact of interest rates, tax receipts, & the debt ceiling on the market.
By Joseph Gradante, Allio CEO
Allio's CEO on Beachheads, Peter Thiel, and Spare Change
Our interview with Joseph Gradante, Allio's Founder & CEO. Get his thoughts on the evolution on FinTech, and more.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Powell & Yellen at Odds, but Favorable Conditions Persist
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, on where Powell and Yellen’s conflicting comments leave the markets.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Equities Stuck Near Resistance, but Earnings Should Bring Clarity
Bullish tactical backdrop continues, earnings on deck. Plus, why Allio took a tactical position in the Nasdaq 100 last week.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Bulls Still Have the Edge but Not by Much
The case for bullishness weakens. Allio’s CIO explains the recent market events and why Allio’s strategic portfolios remain well positioned.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
A War Between Macro Reality and Investor Positioning
There’s a tug-of-war between the bearish macro reality & bullish investor positioning. Allio’s Chief Investment Officer explains.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Amidst the Recent Chaos, Institutions Step Up Their Buying
Institutions now have their highest net long position since the fall of last year. We explain how the smart money is positioned.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
All Eyes on the Fed this Week—Buckle Up!
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer explains why Allio is bullish on gold regardless of what transpires in the equity markets.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
The Fed Finally Broke Something
It appears the Fed has finally broken something—the banking system. Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, explains.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
The Fed Comes to the Rescue yet Again
Another week, another Fed intervention. Allio’s CIO explains the most recent market performance, and why we’re still bullish equities.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
A Growth Scare Is on the Horizon
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, on why we should be focused on slowing growth, and not inflation.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
A Natural Pullback or the End of the Rally?
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, on why he thinks the data signal an uptrend.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
We Melted Up, Now What?
What comes next after last week’s market melt up? Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, follows the smart money.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Let’s Buckle up for a Volatile Week
Can the runup in markets continue? Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, believes caution is warranted (for two reasons).
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Soft Landing Narrative Tested but Remains Intact
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, explains why the smart money is positioned for a soft landing.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Prepare for a Melt-up
What happened in the markets last week may have lasting repercussions for all of 2023. Allio’s Chief Investment Officer explains why.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
The Window is Still Open
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer discusses the macro environment and why at Allio, our portfolios are tilted away from U.S. equities.
By Bill Chen, CFA
Is 2023 the Year to Finally Start Investing?
5 reasons why 2023 is the year you should finally start investing.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Is Santa Claus Coming To Town After All?
Could the Bulls be right? Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, discusses the macroeconomic backdrop.
By Bill Chen, CFA
10 Strategies to Start Your Financial Year Off Right
Let’s toast to a prosperous new year. Here are 10 strategies you should know to start 2023 off right.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
The Party in Risk Assets May Accelerate Further
Does the smart money seem to think the recent rally in equities, bonds, and gold has further to run?
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
November Market Review and a Look Ahead
Allio’s Chief Investment Officer, Raymond Micaletti, offers a look back at November’s market performance and what could come next.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Consolidation As Expected, Now Perhaps a Pullback
Is the market just taking a breather before pushing higher? Or is it gearing up for a reversal?
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Around the Horn
Raymond Micaletti on the geopolitical turbulence impacting the markets, leptokurtosis, near-term market direction, and more.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Fed Stick Save
Raymond Micaletti discusses the Fed soothing the market, and its next move.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Has the Market Bottomed?
Raymond Micaletti's thoughts on recent market moves, institutional sentiment, and how the Fed could react next.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Another Fed Rug-Pull, but Signs Point to Higher Equities
Raymond Micaletti explains how the Fed is moving the market, geopolitical developments, and what could come next for equities.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Expect Some Consolidation Before the Next Big Move
Raymond Micaletti discusses possible scenarios after last week’s seismic market move.
By Raymond Micaletti, Ph.D.
Beyond the Hype: Why NVIDIA is A Risky Bet Today
NVIDIA's remarkable market cap climb and impressive earnings report have sparked concerns about its valuation and future growth prospects.
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